File:Dieoff.org.jpg
The Olduvai Theory: 1930-2030
Notes:
(1) 1930 => Industrial Civilization began when (ê) reached 30% of its peak value.
(2) 1979 => ê reached its peak value of 11.15 boe/c.
(3) 1999 => The end of cheap oil.
(4) 2000 => Start of the "Jerusalem Jihad".
(5) 2006 => Predicted peak of world oil production (Figure 1, this paper).
(6) 2008 => The OPEC crossover event (Figure 1).
(7) 2012 => Permanent blackouts occur worldwide.
(8) 2030 => Industrial Civilization ends when ê falls to its 1930 value.
(9) Observe that there are three intervals of decline in the Olduvai schema: slope, slide and cliff — each steeper than the previous.
(10) The small cartoons stress that electricity is the essential end-use energy for Industrial Civilization.
Olduvai revisited 2008
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| Date/Time | Thumbnail | Dimensions | User | Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| current | 14:48, 20 November 2008 | | 653 × 454 (52 KB) | Chris (Talk | contribs) | ==The Olduvai Theory: 1930-2030 == Notes: (1) 1930 => Industrial Civilization began when (ê) reached 30% of its peak value. (2) 1979 => ê reached its peak value of 11.15 boe/c. (3) 1999 => The end of cheap oil. (4) 2000 => Start of the "Jerusalem Jihad |
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